Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 11.394969 12.660901 14.024154 15.603758 17.386662 19.340113 21.647115
2025-08-24 9.402291 11.113363 13.088286 15.546056 18.536219 22.072985 26.598058
2025-08-31 7.989558 9.955803 12.364784 15.555853 19.705349 24.963930 32.204951
2025-09-07 7.079757 9.244684 12.042021 15.962676 21.381529 28.703612 39.511141
2025-09-14 6.192438 8.419345 11.432851 15.871359 22.348212 31.620984 46.206386
2025-09-21 5.417262 7.629888 10.748055 15.547529 22.900760 33.995831 52.499875
2025-09-28 4.846582 7.047873 10.266829 15.426219 23.696706 36.806405 59.922386
2025-10-05 4.537975 6.805819 10.243020 15.974867 25.582829 41.580560 71.421983
2025-10-12 4.258218 6.569463 10.189925 16.453770 27.402704 46.502829 84.107243
2025-10-19 3.939613 6.232670 9.931970 16.547729 28.559775 50.428091 95.690715
2025-10-26 3.618196 5.854976 9.560606 16.390122 29.229362 53.543183 106.273015
2025-11-02 3.325844 5.494892 9.177470 16.156882 29.712072 56.353701 116.760404
2025-11-09 3.052813 5.147430 8.790273 15.887743 30.126002 59.172822 128.068749
2025-11-16 2.824198 4.856340 8.473850 15.714179 30.707795 62.443313 141.180241
2025-11-23 2.635767 4.619441 8.231654 15.654357 31.514400 66.334543 156.712455
2025-11-30 2.520066 4.504656 8.204729 16.020343 33.279452 72.671087 179.984052
2025-12-07 2.357903 4.287262 7.958623 15.902134 33.958463 76.609101 197.934268
2025-12-14 2.187371 4.038655 7.626978 15.561770 34.080339 79.223723 212.889649
2025-12-21 2.055433 3.853770 7.404555 15.430747 34.670551 83.106438 232.566006
2025-12-28 2.000656 3.817272 7.480794 15.973480 36.970874 91.850052 269.615295
2026-01-04 1.942397 3.768266 7.525421 16.448482 39.178016 100.788830 310.110152
2026-01-11 1.854803 3.651013 7.413010 16.540033 40.411834 107.257483 344.342326
2026-01-18 1.753670 3.497078 7.206733 16.381073 40.957398 111.844084 373.394955